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What is Currency Correlation and Why It Matters

Good Morning Traders!

In today’s email we’re going to discuss the following…

  • Today’s Market Breakdown

  • What is Currency Correlation and Why It Matters

MARKET BREAKDOWN

EUR/USD
Continuing its trend down, I’d still be looking to go short.

USD/JPY
Price seems to be temporarily finding support at a level which was previously acting as resistance. I would personally wait before going short but I would also not consider going long just yet.

GBP/USD
Overall trend still up but short term price action seems to be caught in a range.

USD/CAD
This pair is making a strong move to the upside although the long-term overall trend is down. Personally I wouldn’t be looking to go short just yet.

NASDAQ
The nas seems to have found support. I’d be looking to go long unless we break that support.

PRO INSIGHTS
When Currencies Play Tag – Who’s It and Who’s Chasing?

Ever wondered why some currency pairs seem to move in sync like synchronized swimmers, while others behave like feuding siblings? Welcome to the whimsical world of Forex currency correlation, where currencies share secret handshakes, and every move matters. 

The Correlation Coaster – A Wild Ride

Let's start with the basics: currency correlation in Forex is about how pairs move in relation to each other. Imagine a dance floor where the EUR/USD and GBP/USD are waltzing together (positively correlated), while USD/JPY watches from the sidelines, doing its own breakdance (negatively correlated). But why care? Simple – it’s about not putting all your eggs in one basket or, in this case, not betting on dancers who trip over the same shoelace.

The Perfect Pair – Finding Your Forex Soulmate

Finding perfectly correlated pairs is like matchmaking in the Forex world. Think of EUR/USD and GBP/USD as the power couple, often moving in unison. But here's the twist – correlations change! What was a Romeo and Juliet affair can turn into a Tom and Jerry chase scene. Why? Economic policies, geopolitical events, or market sentiment shifts can turn lovebirds into rivals. So, keep an eye on the correlation charts, not just the gossip columns.

The Strategy Spin – Playing the Correlation Game

Smart traders use correlation to hedge or double down. Hedging is like buying insurance for your trades – if one pair falls, the other might cushion the blow. But beware, hedging isn’t a guaranteed safety net; it’s more like a strategy with a parachute that sometimes has holes. On the flip side, if you’re feeling bold, exploit positive correlation for double the fun (and risk!). Remember, correlation does not imply causation, so don’t bet the farm on these relationships!

In the end, Forex currency correlation is a dynamic, ever-changing dance of currencies. It can be a trader's best friend or worst enemy, depending on how well you understand and use it. Whether you’re hedging your bets or doubling down, remember to keep an eye on the correlation charts, here’s the free one I like to use -> Link

Just make sure when you enter a trade on multiple different pairs that they’re not correlated too closely or you’ll double your risk in some cases. This applies more the higher the timeframe that you trade. 

STOIC QUOTE OF THE DAY

“True happiness is... to enjoy the present, without anxious dependence upon the future”

- Seneca

This quote highlights the Stoic value of living in the present moment and finding contentment therein. It suggests that true happiness comes from appreciating and fully engaging with the present, rather than being overly concerned or worried about what the future may hold. This reflects the Stoic emphasis on mindfulness and the importance of focusing on what is within one's immediate control.

Regards,

Alex Butterfield
Founder & CEO, TraderEdge

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